Lafnitz 1-2 Kapfenberger SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
47%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.89
2-3 Goals
37%
1.94
4-5 Goals
29%
2.79
6+ Goals
11%
7.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
4.96
1/2
6%
21.3
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
12%
7.64
X/2
14%
4.71
X/X
12%
5.75
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
32.0
2/2
27%
2.55
2/X
6%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 32.0 — our 8% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+1.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
47%
Away Win
48%
-1.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.1pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lafnitz EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Kapfenberger SV EU Bookmakers 52%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.66/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.57/0.41
+29% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
275 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 66%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lafnitz
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Kapfenberger SV
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.12.2023 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 2-4 HT 1-2 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
26.09.2023 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 1-0 HT 1-0 Lafnitz Lafnitz AUK
28.07.2023 Lafnitz Lafnitz 3-0 HT 1-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
26.05.2023 Lafnitz Lafnitz 3-1 HT 2-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
14.08.2022 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 1-5 HT 0-3 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
01.04.2022 Lafnitz Lafnitz 3-2 HT 2-2 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
POST-MATCH Lafnitz vs Kapfenberger SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kapfenberger SV edged past Lafnitz 2-1 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kapfenberger SV as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lafnitz had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Lafnitz and 1.17 for Kapfenberger SV.

What was the final score of Lafnitz vs Kapfenberger SV?

Lafnitz 1-2 Kapfenberger SV in the Austria - 1st Division on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lafnitz vs Kapfenberger SV?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kapfenberger SV win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Lafnitz 29%, draw 24%, Kapfenberger SV 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kapfenberger SV), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kapfenberger SV) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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