Voitsberg 0-2 St. Pölten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.06
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.09
6+ Goals
12%
9.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.72
1/2
7%
23.15
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
13%
6.97
X/2
15%
4.78
X/X
9%
5.2
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
31.5
2/2
21%
2.8
2/X
7%
13.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 31.5 — our 8% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+4.4pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.3pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Voitsberg EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pölten EU Bookmakers 49%
-51% / -51% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -12%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.61
-23% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -25%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
294 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
Crosses 17.5
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
POST-MATCH Voitsberg vs St. Pölten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pölten beat Voitsberg 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had St. Pölten as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Voitsberg vs St. Pölten?

Voitsberg 0-2 St. Pölten in the Austria - 1st Division on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Voitsberg vs St. Pölten?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Pölten win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Voitsberg 34%, draw 22%, St. Pölten 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Pölten) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St. Pölten) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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