Kapaz 0-2 Shamakhi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 20 Sep 2024

Kapaz
0-2 HT 0-2
Shamakhi
📅20/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2024/2025

Kapaz vs Shamakhi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.56
Over 2.5
46%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
-0.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.5pp
45%
Away Win
44%
+1.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kapaz v Shamakhi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kapaz EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamakhi EU Bookmakers 48%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.50/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/0.73
+38% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / +62%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
249 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.2

Kapaz vs Shamakhi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kapaz
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Shamakhi
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.04.2023 Shamakhi Shamakhi 1-1 HT 1-1 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
17.02.2023 Kapaz Kapaz 3-2 HT 1-1 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
28.11.2022 Shamakhi Shamakhi 1-1 HT 0-1 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
18.09.2022 Kapaz Kapaz 2-1 HT 0-1 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
07.02.2021 Kapaz Kapaz 0-2 HT 0-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERK
02.02.2021 Shamakhi Shamakhi 1-0 HT 1-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERK
POST-MATCH Kapaz vs Shamakhi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamakhi saw off Kapaz 2-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shamakhi as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kapaz and 1.33 for Shamakhi.

What was the final score of Kapaz vs Shamakhi?

Kapaz 0-2 Shamakhi in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kapaz vs Shamakhi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shamakhi win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Kapaz 27%, draw 28%, Shamakhi 45%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shamakhi), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shamakhi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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