Lommel United 2-1 RSC Anderlecht II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.4
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
25%
2.94
6+ Goals
10%
8.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.4 — our 25% vs market 17.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-7.3pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.7pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+8.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.1pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lommel United EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY RSC Anderlecht II EU Bookmakers 25%
-11% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.81/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.73
-4% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
377 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
19.8 Crosses 11.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lommel United
1W-2D-1L
AWAY RSC Anderlecht II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.59 xG 1.18
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
408 Passes 344
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.03.2024 Lommel United Lommel United 3-1 HT 2-1 RSC Anderlecht II RSC Anderlecht II BEL2
04.11.2023 RSC Anderlecht II RSC Anderlecht II 1-1 HT 1-0 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
03.02.2023 RSC Anderlecht II RSC Anderlecht II 2-2 HT 0-2 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
21.08.2022 Lommel United Lommel United 0-2 HT 0-0 RSC Anderlecht II RSC Anderlecht II BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lommel United
2-1
AWAY RSC Anderlecht II
2.05 xG 0.96
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
490 Passes 257
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lommel United vs RSC Anderlecht II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lommel United nicked a narrow win over RSC Anderlecht II 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lommel United as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Lommel United had 62% of the ball to RSC Anderlecht II's 38%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 2.05 to 0.96.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lommel United and 1.50 for RSC Anderlecht II.

What was the final score of Lommel United vs RSC Anderlecht II?

Lommel United 2-1 RSC Anderlecht II in the Belgium - 1st Division on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lommel United vs RSC Anderlecht II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lommel United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Lommel United 49%, draw 22%, RSC Anderlecht II 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lommel United), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lommel United) ✓ Over 2.5
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