Lommel United 3-1 RSC Anderlecht II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2024

Lommel United
3-1 HT 2-1
RSC Anderlecht II
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Belgium - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Lommel United vs RSC Anderlecht II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.76
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.1
Over 2.5
58%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.12
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
49%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.05
6+ Goals
10%
9.65
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 1.85 — our 49% vs market 47.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
52%
+0.9pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.3pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.7pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lommel United v RSC Anderlecht II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lommel United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY RSC Anderlecht II EU Bookmakers 27%
-13% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
1.92/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.42
+1% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
382 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
20.1 Crosses 9.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5

Lommel United vs RSC Anderlecht II Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lommel United
0W-2D-1L
AWAY RSC Anderlecht II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.82 xG 1.39
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
380 Passes 350
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
04.11.2023 RSC Anderlecht II RSC Anderlecht II 1-1 HT 1-0 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
03.02.2023 RSC Anderlecht II RSC Anderlecht II 2-2 HT 0-2 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
21.08.2022 Lommel United Lommel United 0-2 HT 0-0 RSC Anderlecht II RSC Anderlecht II BEL2

Lommel United 3-1 RSC Anderlecht II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lommel United
3-1
AWAY RSC Anderlecht II
0.92 xG 0.53
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
492 Passes 324
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 18
9 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lommel United vs RSC Anderlecht II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lommel United beat RSC Anderlecht II 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lommel United as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Lommel United had 58% of the ball to RSC Anderlecht II's 42%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 0.92 to 0.53.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, RSC Anderlecht II led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lommel United and 1.67 for RSC Anderlecht II.

What was the final score of Lommel United vs RSC Anderlecht II?

Lommel United 3-1 RSC Anderlecht II in the Belgium - 1st Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lommel United vs RSC Anderlecht II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lommel United win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Lommel United 53%, draw 21%, RSC Anderlecht II 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lommel United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lommel United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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