KRC Genk II 3-1 KV Oostende — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2024

KRC Genk II
3-1 HT 1-0
KV Oostende
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Belgium - 1st Division – 2023/2024

KRC Genk II vs KV Oostende Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.18
Over 2.5
44%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.55
No
53%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
4.29
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
19%
2.98
6+ Goals
10%
9.09
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.29 — our 32% vs market 18.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.4pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.4pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+4.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
42%
+14.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
58%
-14.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
60%
-13.4pp
53%
BTTS No
40%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

KRC Genk II v KV Oostende — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KRC Genk II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY KV Oostende EU Bookmakers 37%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.61/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.39
-39% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
31.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
15.8 Crosses 23.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7

KRC Genk II vs KV Oostende Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KRC Genk II
0W-1D-0L
AWAY KV Oostende
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.19 xG 3.28
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
343 Passes 287
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.09.2023 KV Oostende KV Oostende 2-2 HT 1-1 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2

KRC Genk II 3-1 KV Oostende — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KRC Genk II
3-1
AWAY KV Oostende
2.36 xG 1.15
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 9
301 Passes 211
75% Pass Accuracy 69%
35 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 27
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH KRC Genk II vs KV Oostende
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KRC Genk II got the better of KV Oostende 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 38%) promised a tight game; KRC Genk II found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, KRC Genk II had 56% of the ball to KV Oostende's 44%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 2.36 to 1.15.

What was the final score of KRC Genk II vs KV Oostende?

KRC Genk II 3-1 KV Oostende in the Belgium - 1st Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KRC Genk II vs KV Oostende?

Before kick-off our model rated a KRC Genk II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split KRC Genk II 39%, draw 23%, KV Oostende 38%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KRC Genk II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KRC Genk II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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