Dender EH 4-1 Standard Liege II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.33
Draw
25%
4.81
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.59
Over 2.5
54%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.56
2-3 Goals
37%
2.02
4-5 Goals
26%
2.64
6+ Goals
12%
6.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
71%
-14.8pp
25%
Draw
18%
+7.5pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+7.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
35%
+11.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
65%
-11.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dender EH EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Standard Liege II EU Bookmakers 15%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
3.04/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.76
+49% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
406 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 73%
36.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
19.8 Crosses 18.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dender EH
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Standard Liege II
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
1.36 xG 0.77
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
338 Passes 329
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.12.2023 Standard Liege II Standard Liege II 0-4 HT 0-3 Dender EH Dender EH BEL2
21.04.2023 Dender EH Dender EH 0-0 HT 0-0 Standard Liege II Standard Liege II BEL2
19.03.2023 Standard Liege II Standard Liege II 1-1 HT 0-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL2
11.11.2022 Standard Liege II Standard Liege II 1-1 HT 1-1 Dender EH Dender EH BEL2
26.08.2022 Dender EH Dender EH 0-1 HT 0-0 Standard Liege II Standard Liege II BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dender EH
4-1
AWAY Standard Liege II
2.55 xG 0.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
31 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 6
385 Passes 348
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
54 Box Touches 20
33 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dender EH vs Standard Liege II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dender EH ran out comfortable winners over Standard Liege II 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dender EH as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Dender EH had 53% of the ball to Standard Liege II's 47%, shots finished 31-8, expected goals 2.55 to 0.33.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Dender EH and 0.60 for Standard Liege II.

What was the final score of Dender EH vs Standard Liege II?

Dender EH 4-1 Standard Liege II in the Belgium - 1st Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dender EH vs Standard Liege II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dender EH win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Dender EH 56%, draw 25%, Standard Liege II 19%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dender EH), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dender EH) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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