Deinze 2-3 Boussu Dour Borinage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
21%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.29
Over 2.5
48%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.7
2-3 Goals
43%
1.91
4-5 Goals
23%
2.85
6+ Goals
12%
7.91
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-5.7pp
29%
Draw
23%
+6.1pp
21%
Away Win
21%
-0.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
40%
+11.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
60%
-11.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.0pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deinze EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Boussu Dour Borinage EU Bookmakers 25%
+5% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.66/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/2.05
+38% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
19.4 Crosses 17.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deinze
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Boussu Dour Borinage
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.33 xG 0.36
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 1
14 Corners 4
392 Passes 251
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
31 Box Touches 15
33 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage 0-1 HT 0-0 Deinze Deinze BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deinze
2-3
AWAY Boussu Dour Borinage
0.82 xG 0.79
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
433 Passes 217
82% Pass Accuracy 67%
20 Box Touches 24
33 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deinze vs Boussu Dour Borinage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boussu Dour Borinage nicked a narrow win over Deinze 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Deinze at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Deinze had 62% of the ball to Boussu Dour Borinage's 38%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 0.82 to 0.79.

What was the final score of Deinze vs Boussu Dour Borinage?

Deinze 2-3 Boussu Dour Borinage in the Belgium - 1st Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deinze vs Boussu Dour Borinage?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deinze win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Deinze 51%, draw 29%, Boussu Dour Borinage 21%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Deinze), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deinze) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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