Vitebsk 1-0 Dinamo Minsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.34
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
48%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.44
No
57%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.31
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.28
6+ Goals
6%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
22%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
16%
+9.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
48%
Away Win
59%
-10.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
37%
+5.9pp
57%
BTTS No
63%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitebsk EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Minsk EU Bookmakers 62%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +16%
0.73/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.29/0.49
-19% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +81%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
245 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitebsk
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Dinamo Minsk
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
02.05.2024 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 1-1 HT 0-1 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
08.10.2022 Vitebsk Vitebsk 0-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLR
22.05.2022 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 2-1 HT 1-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
24.07.2021 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 3-1 HT 1-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
20.03.2021 Vitebsk Vitebsk 0-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLR
27.09.2020 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 1-0 HT 0-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitebsk
1-0
AWAY Dinamo Minsk
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vitebsk vs Dinamo Minsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitebsk squeezed past Dinamo Minsk 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Dinamo Minsk at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Vitebsk had 47% of the ball to Dinamo Minsk's 53%, shots finished 7-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Minsk led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Vitebsk and 1.17 for Dinamo Minsk.

What was the final score of Vitebsk vs Dinamo Minsk?

Vitebsk 1-0 Dinamo Minsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitebsk vs Dinamo Minsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Minsk win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Vitebsk 25%, draw 27%, Dinamo Minsk 48%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Dinamo Minsk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Minsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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