Siroki Brijeg 2-2 GOSK Gabela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.86
Over 2.5
40%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
28%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-7.3pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.2pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+3.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
50%
+10.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
50%
-10.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.7pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Siroki Brijeg EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY GOSK Gabela EU Bookmakers 22%
-6% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.54/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.27
-5% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +108% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
329 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Siroki Brijeg
1W-2D-0L
AWAY GOSK Gabela
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.04.2024 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 2-2 HT 1-0 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela BOSN
03.12.2023 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela 0-0 HT 0-0 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
27.08.2023 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 2-0 HT 1-0 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Siroki Brijeg
2-2
AWAY GOSK Gabela
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Siroki Brijeg vs GOSK Gabela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Siroki Brijeg and GOSK Gabela shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Siroki Brijeg at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Siroki Brijeg had 50% of the ball to GOSK Gabela's 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Siroki Brijeg had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Siroki Brijeg and 0.67 for GOSK Gabela.

What was the final score of Siroki Brijeg vs GOSK Gabela?

Siroki Brijeg 2-2 GOSK Gabela in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Siroki Brijeg vs GOSK Gabela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Siroki Brijeg win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Siroki Brijeg 49%, draw 28%, GOSK Gabela 22%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Siroki Brijeg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
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