Annaba 1-0 MSP Batna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 2nd Division, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.54
Over 2.5
51%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
61%
-12.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
39%
+12.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+6.3pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Annaba EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY MSP Batna EU Bookmakers 28%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.38/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.56
+2% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -23%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
357 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Annaba
1W-0D-1L
AWAY MSP Batna
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
4 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.05.2024 MSP Batna MSP Batna 2-1 HT 1-0 Annaba Annaba CZYR2
17.04.2021 MSP Batna MSP Batna 0-1 HT 0-0 Annaba Annaba CZYR2
POST-MATCH Annaba vs MSP Batna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Annaba nicked a narrow win over MSP Batna 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Annaba as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Annaba and 1.00 for MSP Batna.

What was the final score of Annaba vs MSP Batna?

Annaba 1-0 MSP Batna in the Algeria - 2nd Division on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Annaba vs MSP Batna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Annaba win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Annaba 46%, draw 27%, MSP Batna 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Annaba), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Annaba) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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