MO Constantine 1-0 HB Chelghoum Laid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 2nd Division, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.51
No
56%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-7.0pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.6pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+2.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
36%
+8.0pp
56%
BTTS No
64%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MO Constantine EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY HB Chelghoum Laid EU Bookmakers 17%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.71/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/1.85
+1% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / -20%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
405 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MO Constantine
1W-1D-0L
AWAY HB Chelghoum Laid
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
61% Ball Possession 39%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.03.2024 HB Chelghoum Laid HB Chelghoum Laid 1-2 HT 1-1 MO Constantine MO Constantine CZYR2
08.05.2021 HB Chelghoum Laid HB Chelghoum Laid 0-0 HT 0-0 MO Constantine MO Constantine CZYR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MO Constantine
1-0
AWAY HB Chelghoum Laid
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH MO Constantine vs HB Chelghoum Laid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MO Constantine nicked a narrow win over HB Chelghoum Laid 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had MO Constantine as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, MO Constantine had 50% of the ball to HB Chelghoum Laid's 50%, shots finished 7-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, MO Constantine had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for MO Constantine and 0.50 for HB Chelghoum Laid.

What was the final score of MO Constantine vs HB Chelghoum Laid?

MO Constantine 1-0 HB Chelghoum Laid in the Algeria - 2nd Division on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MO Constantine vs HB Chelghoum Laid?

Before kick-off our model rated a MO Constantine win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split MO Constantine 54%, draw 29%, HB Chelghoum Laid 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MO Constantine), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (MO Constantine) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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