Hobro IK 1-0 Kolding IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.18
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.69
6+ Goals
10%
15.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 27% vs market 25.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.19
1/2
10%
27.5
1/X
5%
13.5
X/1
9%
5.91
X/2
12%
5.02
X/X
12%
4.56
2/1
11%
31.5
2/2
19%
3.34
2/X
10%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+1.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hobro IK EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolding IF EU Bookmakers 43%
-14% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +12%
1.37/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.08
-15% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
379 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 75%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
22.4 Crosses 17.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hobro IK
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Kolding IF
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.93 xG 1.77
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
340 Passes 252
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2024 Kolding IF Kolding IF 2-1 HT 1-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
01.04.2024 Hobro IK Hobro IK 1-1 HT 0-0 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN1
02.03.2024 Kolding IF Kolding IF 3-1 HT 0-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
01.10.2023 Hobro IK Hobro IK 2-3 HT 1-1 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN1
14.05.2021 Kolding IF Kolding IF 0-0 HT 0-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
18.12.2020 Hobro IK Hobro IK 1-1 HT 1-0 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hobro IK
1-0
AWAY Kolding IF
1.07 xG 0.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
316 Passes 419
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 35
13 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hobro IK vs Kolding IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hobro IK squeezed past Kolding IF 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Kolding IF at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Hobro IK had 44% of the ball to Kolding IF's 56%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.07 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kolding IF led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hobro IK and 1.67 for Kolding IF.

What was the final score of Hobro IK vs Kolding IF?

Hobro IK 1-0 Kolding IF in the Denmark 1st Division on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hobro IK vs Kolding IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kolding IF win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hobro IK 31%, draw 28%, Kolding IF 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kolding IF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kolding IF) ✓ Under 2.5
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