PSS Sleman 3-1 Arema Malang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
48%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+2.1pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.9pp
48%
Away Win
46%
+1.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.9pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSS Sleman EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Arema Malang EU Bookmakers 50%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.17/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.91
+0% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +21%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
234 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSS Sleman
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Arema Malang
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
322 Passes 239
15.04.2024 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman 4-1 HT 2-1 Arema Malang Arema Malang ENDL1
30.09.2023 Arema Malang Arema Malang 2-1 HT 1-0 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman ENDL1
26.01.2023 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman 2-0 HT 1-0 Arema Malang Arema Malang ENDL1
05.08.2022 Arema Malang Arema Malang 0-0 HT 0-0 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman ENDL1
13.01.2022 Arema Malang Arema Malang 2-0 HT 0-0 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman ENDL1
19.09.2021 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman 2-1 HT 1-1 Arema Malang Arema Malang ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSS Sleman
3-1
AWAY Arema Malang
36% Ball Possession 64%
5 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH PSS Sleman vs Arema Malang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSS Sleman beat Arema Malang 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Arema Malang at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, PSS Sleman had 36% of the ball to Arema Malang's 64%, shots finished 5-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSS Sleman had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for PSS Sleman and 1.00 for Arema Malang.

What was the final score of PSS Sleman vs Arema Malang?

PSS Sleman 3-1 Arema Malang in the Indonesia League 1 on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSS Sleman vs Arema Malang?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arema Malang win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split PSS Sleman 28%, draw 24%, Arema Malang 48%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arema Malang) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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