Moghreb Tetouan 1-1 Maghreb Fes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.18
Draw
32%
2.77
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.44
Over 2.5
40%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.19
No
53%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.05
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
18%
6.32
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-7.3pp
32%
Draw
32%
-0.7pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+8.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
66%
-6.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
34%
+6.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.0pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moghreb Tetouan EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Maghreb Fes EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -3%
1.11/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.03
-7% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moghreb Tetouan
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Maghreb Fes
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2024 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan 2-4 HT 1-1 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes FASK
07.02.2024 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan 0-2 HT 0-0 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes FAS
25.08.2023 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes 2-1 HT 1-1 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan FAS
28.01.2023 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan 1-1 HT 0-0 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes FAS
03.09.2022 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes 0-0 HT 0-0 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan FAS
26.06.2021 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan 0-0 HT 0-0 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Moghreb Tetouan
1-1
AWAY Maghreb Fes
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Moghreb Tetouan vs Maghreb Fes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moghreb Tetouan and Maghreb Fes shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 32% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Moghreb Tetouan had 50% of the ball to Maghreb Fes's 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maghreb Fes led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Moghreb Tetouan and 1.50 for Maghreb Fes.

What was the final score of Moghreb Tetouan vs Maghreb Fes?

Moghreb Tetouan 1-1 Maghreb Fes in the Morocco - League on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moghreb Tetouan vs Maghreb Fes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moghreb Tetouan win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Moghreb Tetouan 35%, draw 32%, Maghreb Fes 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Moghreb Tetouan), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Moghreb Tetouan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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