Valenciennes 3-3 Concarneau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.67
Over
44%
2.02
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.84
No
50%
1.84
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.73
2-3
46%
1.77
4-5
19%
4.28
6+
4%
21.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.37
1/2
2%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.6
X/1
15%
4.86
X/2
13%
5.99
X/X
18%
4.12
2/1
3%
30.0
2/2
17%
4.51
2/X
5%
13.8
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Valenciennes The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Concarneau The Market 34%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.32 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.60
0.98 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.06
Great Attack Strength Great
Great Defense Strength Average
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valenciennes
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Concarneau
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.98 xG 1.47
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
306 Passes 340
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 4
03.02.2024 Concarneau Concarneau 1-0 HT 0-0 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
26.09.2023 Valenciennes Valenciennes 0-1 HT 0-1 Concarneau Concarneau FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valenciennes
3 - 3
AWAY Concarneau
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Valenciennes vs Concarneau
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 3-3 draw left Valenciennes and Concarneau with a point apiece. The 3-0 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

The preview numbers (39% / 29% / 32%) promised nothing between these sides, and the point apiece bears that out. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (56%) never looked like landing.

The match data tells the story: Valenciennes had 51% of the ball to Concarneau's 49%, shots finished 15-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Concarneau led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Valenciennes and 1.00 for Concarneau.

Valenciennes vs Concarneau Result & Final Score

Valenciennes 3 - 3 Concarneau in the France - National League 1 on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Valenciennes vs Concarneau Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Valenciennes win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Valenciennes 39%, draw 29%, Concarneau 32%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Valenciennes) ✗ Under 2.5
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