Concarneau 1-0 Valenciennes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.52
Over 2.5
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.25
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.38
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.19
1/2
9%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.05
X/1
15%
4.47
X/2
9%
6.5
X/X
17%
3.56
2/1
5%
33.0
2/2
12%
5.41
2/X
8%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.4pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.2pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.8pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Concarneau EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Valenciennes EU Bookmakers 31%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -10%
1.22/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.33
+32% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
23.7 Crosses 15.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Concarneau
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Valenciennes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.05 xG 1.57
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
317 Passes 279
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 3
26.09.2023 Valenciennes Valenciennes 0-1 HT 0-1 Concarneau Concarneau FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Concarneau
1-0
AWAY Valenciennes
0.89 xG 0.38
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 0
362 Passes 334
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 15
POST-MATCH Concarneau vs Valenciennes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Concarneau nicked a narrow win over Valenciennes 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 32% / 30%) promised a tight game; Concarneau found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Concarneau had 52% of the ball to Valenciennes's 48%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 0.89 to 0.38.

What was the final score of Concarneau vs Valenciennes?

Concarneau 1-0 Valenciennes in the France - Ligue 2 on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Concarneau vs Valenciennes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Concarneau win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Concarneau 39%, draw 32%, Valenciennes 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Concarneau), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Concarneau) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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