Grenoble 5-1 Caen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
26%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.69
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
4.31
6+ Goals
9%
21.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.24
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
4%
13.5
X/1
18%
4.72
X/2
10%
6.16
X/X
20%
4.06
2/1
10%
29.5
2/2
9%
4.71
2/X
7%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.9pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.5pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-3.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grenoble EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Caen EU Bookmakers 33%
+7% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +7%
1.35/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.23
+0% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
17.0 Crosses 18.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grenoble
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Caen
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.00 xG 0.99
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
335 Passes 424
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.09.2023 Caen Caen 1-2 HT 1-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
18.02.2023 Caen Caen 2-1 HT 0-1 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
17.09.2022 Grenoble Grenoble 1-0 HT 0-0 Caen Caen FR2
09.04.2022 Grenoble Grenoble 0-2 HT 0-0 Caen Caen FR2
30.10.2021 Caen Caen 0-1 HT 0-1 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
10.04.2021 Grenoble Grenoble 3-1 HT 0-0 Caen Caen FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grenoble
5-1
AWAY Caen
2.86 xG 0.98
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 3
264 Passes 479
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 22
7 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Grenoble vs Caen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grenoble ran out comfortable winners over Caen 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Grenoble as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Grenoble had 38% of the ball to Caen's 62%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 2.86 to 0.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grenoble had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Grenoble and 1.00 for Caen.

What was the final score of Grenoble vs Caen?

Grenoble 5-1 Caen in the France - Ligue 2 on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grenoble vs Caen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grenoble win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Grenoble 43%, draw 31%, Caen 26%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Grenoble) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Grenoble) ✗ Under 2.5
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