Guingamp 1-4 Annecy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.49
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
25%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.72
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
4.25
6+ Goals
9%
21.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 34% vs market 30.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.87
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
19.1
X/1
14%
3.35
X/2
9%
13.0
X/X
14%
4.88
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
9%
11.85
2/X
7%
20.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
63%
-15.5pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.3pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+10.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.0pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guingamp EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Annecy EU Bookmakers 17%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -14%
2.03/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.56
+11% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
397 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
21.7 Crosses 13.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guingamp
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Annecy
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.76 xG 2.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 5
288 Passes 283
68% Pass Accuracy 66%
23 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
05.08.2023 Annecy Annecy 1-4 HT 1-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
18.03.2023 Annecy Annecy 1-1 HT 1-1 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
08.10.2022 Guingamp Guingamp 0-4 HT 0-1 Annecy Annecy FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guingamp
1-4
AWAY Annecy
1.54 xG 2.98
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
360 Passes 215
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Box Touches 23
25 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Guingamp vs Annecy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Annecy cruised past Guingamp 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Guingamp at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Guingamp had 60% of the ball to Annecy's 40%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.54 to 2.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Guingamp and 2.00 for Annecy.

What was the final score of Guingamp vs Annecy?

Guingamp 1-4 Annecy in the France - Ligue 2 on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guingamp vs Annecy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guingamp win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Guingamp 47%, draw 28%, Annecy 24%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Guingamp) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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