Dila Gori 3-2 Samtredia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.29
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
18%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
73%
-12.9pp
22%
Draw
17%
+4.4pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+8.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.2pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dila Gori EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Samtredia EU Bookmakers 12%
-11% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.77/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/2.31
-26% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -5%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
438 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dila Gori
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Samtredia
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.05.2024 Samtredia Samtredia 0-0 HT 0-0 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
07.04.2024 Dila Gori Dila Gori 3-0 HT 2-0 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
10.11.2023 Samtredia Samtredia 1-2 HT 1-1 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
02.09.2023 Dila Gori Dila Gori 1-3 HT 0-2 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
20.05.2023 Samtredia Samtredia 1-2 HT 0-2 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
16.10.2021 Dila Gori Dila Gori 3-1 HT 2-1 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dila Gori
3-2
AWAY Samtredia
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dila Gori vs Samtredia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dila Gori edged past Samtredia 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dila Gori as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dila Gori had 53% of the ball to Samtredia's 47%, shots finished 15-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dila Gori had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Dila Gori and 1.00 for Samtredia.

What was the final score of Dila Gori vs Samtredia?

Dila Gori 3-2 Samtredia in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dila Gori vs Samtredia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dila Gori win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Dila Gori 60%, draw 22%, Samtredia 18%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dila Gori), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dila Gori) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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