Dila Gori 3-0 Samtredia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 7 Apr 2024

Dila Gori
3-0 HT 2-0
Samtredia
📅07/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Georgia - Erovnuli Liga – 2024

Dila Gori vs Samtredia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.43
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.18
Over 2.5
58%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-11.1pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.8pp
23%
Away Win
15%
+8.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.6pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dila Gori v Samtredia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dila Gori EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Samtredia EU Bookmakers 18%
-7% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.55/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.45
-29% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +35%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
400 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2

Dila Gori vs Samtredia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dila Gori
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Samtredia
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.11.2023 Samtredia Samtredia 1-2 HT 1-1 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
02.09.2023 Dila Gori Dila Gori 1-3 HT 0-2 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
20.05.2023 Samtredia Samtredia 1-2 HT 0-2 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
16.10.2021 Dila Gori Dila Gori 3-1 HT 2-1 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
27.06.2021 Samtredia Samtredia 1-2 HT 0-0 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
28.04.2021 Dila Gori Dila Gori 1-1 HT 1-0 Samtredia Samtredia GUR

Dila Gori 3-0 Samtredia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dila Gori
3-0
AWAY Samtredia
68% Ball Possession 32%
16 Total Shots 1
6 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dila Gori vs Samtredia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dila Gori cruised past Samtredia 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dila Gori as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Dila Gori had 68% of the ball to Samtredia's 32%, shots finished 16-1.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dila Gori had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Dila Gori and 1.33 for Samtredia.

What was the final score of Dila Gori vs Samtredia?

Dila Gori 3-0 Samtredia in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dila Gori vs Samtredia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dila Gori win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Dila Gori 54%, draw 23%, Samtredia 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dila Gori), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dila Gori) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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