Samgurali 2-1 Telavi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.64
Over 2.5
34%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.9
No
62%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.6pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.4pp
66%
Under 2.5
57%
+9.2pp
34%
Over 2.5
43%
-9.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
49%
-10.5pp
62%
BTTS No
51%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samgurali EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Telavi EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -11%
1.15/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.55
-9% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samgurali
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Telavi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 Telavi Telavi 2-1 HT 2-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
12.08.2023 Samgurali Samgurali 0-1 HT 0-0 Telavi Telavi GUR
06.05.2023 Telavi Telavi 0-1 HT 0-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
08.03.2023 Samgurali Samgurali 1-0 HT 1-0 Telavi Telavi GUR
15.10.2022 Samgurali Samgurali 2-0 HT 0-0 Telavi Telavi GUR
13.08.2022 Telavi Telavi 1-1 HT 0-1 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samgurali
2-1
AWAY Telavi
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Samgurali vs Telavi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samgurali edged past Telavi 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Samgurali as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Samgurali had 40% of the ball to Telavi's 60%, shots finished 14-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Samgurali had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Samgurali and 0.67 for Telavi.

What was the final score of Samgurali vs Telavi?

Samgurali 2-1 Telavi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samgurali vs Telavi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Samgurali win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Samgurali 41%, draw 29%, Telavi 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Samgurali) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Samgurali) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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