Gagra 0-1 Torpedo Kutaisi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 7 Apr 2024

Gagra
0-1 HT 0-1
Torpedo Kutaisi
📅07/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Georgia - Erovnuli Liga – 2024

Gagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.13
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
49%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
21%
+1.9pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.7pp
49%
Away Win
55%
-5.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gagra v Torpedo Kutaisi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gagra EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi EU Bookmakers 59%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.96/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/0.87
-12% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +27%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
275 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3

Gagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gagra
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.10.2023 Gagra Gagra 1-2 HT 1-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
20.08.2023 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 4-1 HT 2-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
10.05.2023 Gagra Gagra 0-0 HT 0-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
12.03.2023 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 3-1 HT 2-1 Gagra Gagra GUR
11.11.2022 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 0-1 HT 0-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
06.09.2022 Gagra Gagra 0-2 HT 0-1 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR

Gagra 0-1 Torpedo Kutaisi — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gagra
0-1
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Kutaisi edged past Gagra 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Torpedo Kutaisi as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gagra had 44% of the ball to Torpedo Kutaisi's 56%, shots finished 15-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torpedo Kutaisi led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gagra and 1.83 for Torpedo Kutaisi.

What was the final score of Gagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi?

Gagra 0-1 Torpedo Kutaisi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torpedo Kutaisi win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Gagra 23%, draw 28%, Torpedo Kutaisi 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi) ✓ Under 2.5
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