FK Dainava Alytus 0-3 Suduva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.47
Draw
36%
2.88
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
58%
1.45
Over 2.5
42%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
27%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
37%
-9.0pp
36%
Draw
31%
+4.6pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
65%
-7.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
35%
+7.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.0pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Dainava Alytus EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Suduva EU Bookmakers 36%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.44/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.02
+10% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / +21%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
274 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Dainava Alytus
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Suduva
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
07.07.2024 Suduva Suduva 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LITA
17.05.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-1 HT 0-0 Suduva Suduva LIT1
31.03.2024 Suduva Suduva 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
27.01.2024 Suduva Suduva 0-2 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus HAZ
20.10.2023 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 1-2 HT 0-1 Suduva Suduva LIT1
04.08.2023 Suduva Suduva 2-0 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Dainava Alytus
0-3
AWAY Suduva
40% Ball Possession 60%
2 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FK Dainava Alytus vs Suduva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suduva swept aside FK Dainava Alytus 3-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 28% / 36% / 37% — and on the day Suduva made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FK Dainava Alytus had 40% of the ball to Suduva's 60%, shots finished 2-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Suduva led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FK Dainava Alytus and 0.83 for Suduva.

What was the final score of FK Dainava Alytus vs Suduva?

FK Dainava Alytus 0-3 Suduva in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Dainava Alytus vs Suduva?

Before kick-off our model rated an Suduva win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FK Dainava Alytus 28%, draw 36%, Suduva 37%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Suduva), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Suduva) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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