FK Dainava Alytus 0-1 Suduva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 17 May 2024

📅17/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.57
Draw
36%
2.7
Away
38%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.36
Over 2.5
35%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.44
No
59%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
10%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
3%
1/X
14%
X/1
4%
X/2
13%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
35%
-9.8pp
36%
Draw
34%
+2.9pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+6.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
70%
-4.7pp
35%
Over 2.5
30%
+4.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
37%
+4.0pp
59%
BTTS No
63%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Dainava Alytus EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Suduva EU Bookmakers 34%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -12%
1.85/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.38
+30% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Dainava Alytus
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Suduva
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
31.03.2024 Suduva Suduva 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
27.01.2024 Suduva Suduva 0-2 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus HAZ
20.10.2023 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 1-2 HT 0-1 Suduva Suduva LIT1
04.08.2023 Suduva Suduva 2-0 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
03.06.2023 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 2-1 HT 0-1 Suduva Suduva LIT1
05.04.2023 Suduva Suduva 2-0 HT 1-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
POST-MATCH FK Dainava Alytus vs Suduva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suduva nicked a narrow win over FK Dainava Alytus 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (26% / 36% / 38%) promised a tight game; Suduva found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FK Dainava Alytus and 1.17 for Suduva.

What was the final score of FK Dainava Alytus vs Suduva?

FK Dainava Alytus 0-1 Suduva in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Dainava Alytus vs Suduva?

Before kick-off our model rated an Suduva win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FK Dainava Alytus 26%, draw 36%, Suduva 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Suduva), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Suduva) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LIT1 More Lithuania - 1st Division
17 May 2024
18:00 Babrungas vs Nevezis Analysis →
19:00 Neptüna Klaipeda vs Tauras Taurage Analysis →