Neptüna Klaipeda 2-1 Tauras Taurage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 17 May 2024

📅17/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.55
No
52%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-2.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.0pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Tauras Taurage EU Bookmakers 28%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.73/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
+20% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +77% / -25%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda
2-1
AWAY Tauras Taurage
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Neptüna Klaipeda vs Tauras Taurage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neptüna Klaipeda nicked a narrow win over Tauras Taurage 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Neptüna Klaipeda as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Neptüna Klaipeda had 60% of the ball to Tauras Taurage's 40%, shots finished 19-6.

What was the final score of Neptüna Klaipeda vs Tauras Taurage?

Neptüna Klaipeda 2-1 Tauras Taurage in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neptüna Klaipeda vs Tauras Taurage?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neptüna Klaipeda win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Neptüna Klaipeda 48%, draw 25%, Tauras Taurage 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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