Babrungas 1-1 Nevezis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 17 May 2024

Babrungas
1-1
Nevezis
📅17/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Lithuania - 1st Division – 2024

Babrungas vs Nevezis Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.03
Over 2.5
43%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-5.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
45%
+12.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
55%
-12.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.3pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Babrungas v Nevezis — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Babrungas EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Nevezis EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
2.19/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.33
+54% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Babrungas vs Nevezis Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Babrungas
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Nevezis
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 0
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
29.09.2023 Babrungas Babrungas 1-2 HT 0-0 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
12.05.2023 Nevezis Nevezis 1-1 HT 0-1 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
09.09.2022 Nevezis Nevezis 2-1 HT 0-0 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
13.05.2022 Babrungas Babrungas 1-1 HT 1-1 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1

Babrungas 1-1 Nevezis — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Babrungas
1-1
AWAY Nevezis
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Babrungas vs Nevezis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Babrungas and Nevezis couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Babrungas had 54% of the ball to Nevezis's 46%, shots finished 11-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Nevezis led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Babrungas and 1.50 for Nevezis.

What was the final score of Babrungas vs Nevezis?

Babrungas 1-1 Nevezis in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Babrungas vs Nevezis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Babrungas win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Babrungas 36%, draw 28%, Nevezis 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LIT1 More Lithuania - 1st Division
17 May 2024
19:00 Neptüna Klaipeda vs Tauras Taurage Analysis →
19:00 FK Dainava Alytus vs Suduva Analysis →