Radomiak Radom 4-0 Korona Kielce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.92
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.0
6+ Goals
10%
18.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 30% vs market 28.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.36
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
12%
5.01
X/2
9%
6.09
X/X
12%
4.2
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
18%
4.43
2/X
7%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radomiak Radom EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Korona Kielce EU Bookmakers 34%
-20% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
1.48/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.14
-23% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
284 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 76%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
24.4 Crosses 19.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radomiak Radom
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Korona Kielce
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.10 xG 2.14
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
245 Passes 201
74% Pass Accuracy 68%
23 Box Touches 26
26 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.04.2024 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 4-0 HT 2-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
22.10.2023 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 1-1 HT 0-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
11.03.2023 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 2-1 HT 1-1 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
27.08.2022 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 0-2 HT 0-1 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
13.06.2021 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 2-0 HT 2-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL1
13.12.2020 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 0-2 HT 0-1 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radomiak Radom
4-0
AWAY Korona Kielce
1.26 xG 0.39
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
311 Passes 240
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
33 Box Touches 7
19 Crosses 16
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Radomiak Radom vs Korona Kielce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radomiak Radom ran out comfortable winners over Korona Kielce 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Radomiak Radom as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Radomiak Radom had 56% of the ball to Korona Kielce's 44%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.26 to 0.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Korona Kielce led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Radomiak Radom and 1.50 for Korona Kielce.

What was the final score of Radomiak Radom vs Korona Kielce?

Radomiak Radom 4-0 Korona Kielce in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radomiak Radom vs Korona Kielce?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radomiak Radom win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Radomiak Radom 41%, draw 26%, Korona Kielce 33%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radomiak Radom), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Radomiak Radom) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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