20/09/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
FK Ufa vs Chayka Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
30%
Draw
29%
30%
Away Win
29%
60%
Under 2.5
60%
40%
Over 2.5
40%
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
59%
BTTS No
55%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FK Ufa v Chayka — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
FK Ufa
EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY
Chayka
EU Bookmakers 32%
-17% /
-17%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+4% /
+4%
0.91/0.96
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.76/0.80
-21%
/
-3%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-27%
/
+33%
50%
Ball Possession
50%
11
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
305 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
334 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.1
Yellow Cards
1.7
FK Ufa vs Chayka Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
FK Ufa
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Chayka
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
51%
Ball Possession
49%
14
Total Shots
14
6
Shots on Target
1
5
Corners
3
The Meetings
25.09.2019
Chayka
0-1
HT 0-1
FK Ufa
RUK
0-1
HT 0-1
FK Ufa
RUK
POST-MATCH
FK Ufa vs Chayka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Chayka nicked a narrow win over FK Ufa 1-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Chayka made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.
What was the final score of FK Ufa vs Chayka?
FK Ufa 0-1 Chayka in the Russia - FNL on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FK Ufa vs Chayka?
Before kick-off our model rated a FK Ufa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FK Ufa 40%, draw 30%, Chayka 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FK Ufa) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (FK Ufa)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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20 Sep 2024