Rotor Volgograd 1-2 Chernomorets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.44
Over 2.5
34%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-3.6pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.1pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.8pp
66%
Under 2.5
66%
+0.3pp
34%
Over 2.5
34%
-0.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.8pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rotor Volgograd EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Chernomorets EU Bookmakers 34%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.31/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.12
-73% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rotor Volgograd
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Chernomorets
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
26.06.2017 Chernomorets Chernomorets 1-1 HT 0-1 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rotor Volgograd
1-2
AWAY Chernomorets
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rotor Volgograd vs Chernomorets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chernomorets edged past Rotor Volgograd 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; Chernomorets found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rotor Volgograd had 51% of the ball to Chernomorets's 49%, shots finished 15-10.

What was the final score of Rotor Volgograd vs Chernomorets?

Rotor Volgograd 1-2 Chernomorets in the Russia - FNL on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rotor Volgograd vs Chernomorets?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chernomorets win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Rotor Volgograd 35%, draw 29%, Chernomorets 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chernomorets) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chernomorets) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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