Al Ettifaq 0-3 Al Nassr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 20 Sep 2024

Al Ettifaq
0-3 HT 0-1
Al Nassr
📅20/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2024/2025

Al Ettifaq vs Al Nassr Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
51%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.3
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
2.98
6+ Goals
11%
9.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.3 — our 26% vs market 18.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+2.9pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.2pp
51%
Away Win
57%
-6.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.5pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Ettifaq v Al Nassr — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ettifaq EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 61%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +13%
0.83/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.36/1.30
-1% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -8%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
250 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 84%
15.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.7
12.8 Crosses 20.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2

Al Ettifaq vs Al Nassr Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ettifaq
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Al Nassr
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.92 xG 1.68
34% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
248 Passes 514
76% Pass Accuracy 89%
11 Box Touches 34
9 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.12.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 3-1 HT 1-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
31.10.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SAKK
14.08.2023 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
27.05.2023 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
22.01.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
11.03.2022 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 2-2 HT 2-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD

Al Ettifaq 0-3 Al Nassr — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ettifaq
0-3
AWAY Al Nassr
0.49 xG 2.71
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
337 Passes 424
87% Pass Accuracy 89%
12 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Ettifaq vs Al Nassr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nassr ran out comfortable winners over Al Ettifaq 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Al Ettifaq had 45% of the ball to Al Nassr's 55%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 0.49 to 2.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nassr led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Ettifaq and 1.50 for Al Nassr.

What was the final score of Al Ettifaq vs Al Nassr?

Al Ettifaq 0-3 Al Nassr in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ettifaq vs Al Nassr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Al Ettifaq 24%, draw 25%, Al Nassr 51%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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