Al Ahli Jeddah 4-2 Damac FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒18:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.49
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.91
6+ Goals
11%
8.44
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
13%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
66%
-7.0pp
21%
Draw
19%
+1.4pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+5.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Damac FC EU Bookmakers 17%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
1.90/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.70
-24% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
369 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
23.7 Crosses 14.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Damac FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.23 xG 1.60
58% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
406 Passes 276
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.05.2024 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 4-1 HT 4-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
09.11.2023 Damac FC Damac FC 2-2 HT 0-2 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
21.01.2022 Damac FC Damac FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
25.08.2021 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-1 HT 1-1 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
06.03.2021 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-3 HT 1-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
05.12.2020 Damac FC Damac FC 4-3 HT 1-3 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
4-2
AWAY Damac FC
5.29 xG 2.11
54% Ball Possession 46%
23 Total Shots 18
10 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
305 Passes 250
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
44 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Ahli Jeddah vs Damac FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Jeddah got the better of Damac FC 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ahli Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Al Ahli Jeddah had 54% of the ball to Damac FC's 46%, shots finished 23-18, expected goals 5.29 to 2.11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Damac FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Ahli Jeddah and 2.00 for Damac FC.

What was the final score of Al Ahli Jeddah vs Damac FC?

Al Ahli Jeddah 4-2 Damac FC in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli Jeddah vs Damac FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Jeddah 59%, draw 21%, Damac FC 20%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD More Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League
20 Sep 2024
18:15 Al Khaleej vs Al Fayha Analysis →
21:00 Al Ettifaq vs Al Nassr Analysis →