Manisa FK 5-1 Yeni Malatyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.25
Draw
25%
5.15
Away
23%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
9.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.52
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
4%
23.15
X/1
11%
3.35
X/2
8%
19.65
X/X
12%
7.31
2/1
7%
24.0
2/2
7%
16.2
2/X
8%
24.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
76%
-23.9pp
25%
Draw
17%
+8.1pp
23%
Away Win
7%
+15.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.2pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manisa FK EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeni Malatyaspor EU Bookmakers 9%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
2.04/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/2.39
-18% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -9%
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
444 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 199 · 69%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
24.8 Crosses 9.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manisa FK
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Yeni Malatyaspor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.85 xG 2.36
71% Ball Possession 29%
17 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 4
341 Passes 86
80% Pass Accuracy 51%
22 Box Touches 22
30 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 5
11.09.2022 Manisa FK Manisa FK 2-2 HT 0-1 Yeni Malatyaspor Yeni Malatyaspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manisa FK
5-1
AWAY Yeni Malatyaspor
3.38 xG 0.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
30 Total Shots 5
14 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 1
384 Passes 248
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
45 Box Touches 7
19 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Manisa FK vs Yeni Malatyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manisa FK cruised past Yeni Malatyaspor 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Manisa FK as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Manisa FK had 58% of the ball to Yeni Malatyaspor's 42%, shots finished 30-5, expected goals 3.38 to 0.33.

What was the final score of Manisa FK vs Yeni Malatyaspor?

Manisa FK 5-1 Yeni Malatyaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manisa FK vs Yeni Malatyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manisa FK win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Manisa FK 52%, draw 25%, Yeni Malatyaspor 23%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manisa FK), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manisa FK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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