Dundee FC 3-2 Livingston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.75
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.26
6+ Goals
9%
21.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.44
1/2
8%
29.0
1/X
6%
13.95
X/1
15%
5.93
X/2
13%
4.97
X/X
11%
4.21
2/1
8%
33.5
2/2
19%
3.4
2/X
7%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.8pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.8pp
40%
Away Win
40%
+0.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.9pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Livingston EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -16%
1.19/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.06
+17% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
238 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 66%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
20.4 Crosses 22.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee FC
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Livingston
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.07 xG 1.54
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
223 Passes 282
66% Pass Accuracy 71%
19 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.01.2024 Livingston Livingston 1-4 HT 0-1 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
05.11.2023 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
28.10.2023 Livingston Livingston 0-2 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
15.05.2022 Livingston Livingston 2-1 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
26.02.2022 Dundee FC Dundee FC 0-4 HT 0-3 Livingston Livingston İKP
18.01.2022 Livingston Livingston 2-0 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundee FC
3-2
AWAY Livingston
2.74 xG 1.51
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
252 Passes 424
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
30 Box Touches 22
30 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dundee FC vs Livingston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee FC nicked a narrow win over Livingston 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and on the day Dundee FC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Dundee FC had 41% of the ball to Livingston's 59%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 2.74 to 1.51 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Dundee FC's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dundee FC and 1.50 for Livingston.

What was the final score of Dundee FC vs Livingston?

Dundee FC 3-2 Livingston in the Scotland - Premiership on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee FC vs Livingston?

Before kick-off our model rated an Livingston win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dundee FC 36%, draw 24%, Livingston 40%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Livingston) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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