Cacereno 2-1 Merida AD — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.45
Over 2.5
43%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.0
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
5.62
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+4.3pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.6pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
65%
-7.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
35%
+7.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.2pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cacereno EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Merida AD EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
246 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cacereno
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Merida AD
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.04.2022 Cacereno Cacereno 1-2 HT 0-2 Merida AD Merida AD İS4
05.12.2021 Merida AD Merida AD 0-1 HT 0-1 Cacereno Cacereno İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cacereno
2-1
AWAY Merida AD
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cacereno vs Merida AD
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cacereno nicked a narrow win over Merida AD 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Cacereno found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cacereno had 61% of the ball to Merida AD's 39%, shots finished 12-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cacereno and 1.00 for Merida AD.

What was the final score of Cacereno vs Merida AD?

Cacereno 2-1 Merida AD in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cacereno vs Merida AD?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cacereno win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cacereno 40%, draw 27%, Merida AD 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cacereno) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cacereno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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