Astoria Walldorf 4-1 Schott Mainz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.66
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.46
No
34%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
56%
+0.5pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.8pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+1.3pp
66%
BTTS Yes
64%
+1.4pp
34%
BTTS No
36%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Astoria Walldorf EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Schott Mainz EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
2.11/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.91
+7% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
405 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Astoria Walldorf
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Schott Mainz
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.12.2023 Schott Mainz Schott Mainz 2-2 HT 1-1 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf ALMBÖL
20.08.2023 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf 1-1 HT 0-1 Schott Mainz Schott Mainz ALMBÖL
16.04.2022 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf 3-1 HT 1-0 Schott Mainz Schott Mainz ALMBÖL
26.10.2021 Schott Mainz Schott Mainz 3-1 HT 2-0 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf ALMBÖL
20.03.2021 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf 3-1 HT 2-1 Schott Mainz Schott Mainz ALMBÖL
03.10.2020 Schott Mainz Schott Mainz 3-1 HT 3-1 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Astoria Walldorf vs Schott Mainz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Astoria Walldorf cruised past Schott Mainz 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Astoria Walldorf as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Astoria Walldorf and 1.83 for Schott Mainz.

What was the final score of Astoria Walldorf vs Schott Mainz?

Astoria Walldorf 4-1 Schott Mainz in the Germany - Regional League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Astoria Walldorf vs Schott Mainz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Astoria Walldorf win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Astoria Walldorf 56%, draw 19%, Schott Mainz 25%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Astoria Walldorf), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Astoria Walldorf) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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