Kickers Offenbach 2-5 SGV Freiberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
32%
-7.2pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.9pp
46%
Away Win
44%
+2.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.3pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kickers Offenbach EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY SGV Freiberg EU Bookmakers 48%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
0.79/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.31/1.33
-42% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 5
394 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kickers Offenbach
2W-3D-1L
AWAY SGV Freiberg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.12.2024 Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenbach 0-2 HT 0-1 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
10.08.2024 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 0-0 HT 0-0 Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenbach ALMBÖL
06.04.2024 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 2-2 HT 0-2 Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenbach ALMBÖL
03.10.2023 Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenbach 2-0 HT 1-0 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
10.03.2023 Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenbach 2-1 HT 1-1 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
03.09.2022 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 2-2 HT 2-1 Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenbach ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Kickers Offenbach vs SGV Freiberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SGV Freiberg ran out comfortable winners over Kickers Offenbach 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had SGV Freiberg as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kickers Offenbach had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kickers Offenbach and 1.17 for SGV Freiberg.

What was the final score of Kickers Offenbach vs SGV Freiberg?

Kickers Offenbach 2-5 SGV Freiberg in the Germany - Regional League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kickers Offenbach vs SGV Freiberg?

Before kick-off our model rated an SGV Freiberg win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kickers Offenbach 25%, draw 29%, SGV Freiberg 46%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SGV Freiberg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SGV Freiberg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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