SGV Freiberg 2-2 Kickers Offenbach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.61
No
57%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
36%
Away Win
40%
-4.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
58%
-14.8pp
57%
BTTS No
42%
+14.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SGV Freiberg EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Kickers Offenbach EU Bookmakers 45%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -20%
1.59/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.43
+7% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SGV Freiberg
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Kickers Offenbach
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.10.2023 Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenbach 2-0 HT 1-0 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
10.03.2023 Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenbach 2-1 HT 1-1 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
03.09.2022 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 2-2 HT 2-1 Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenbach ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SGV Freiberg
2-2
AWAY Kickers Offenbach
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SGV Freiberg vs Kickers Offenbach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SGV Freiberg and Kickers Offenbach shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, SGV Freiberg had 63% of the ball to Kickers Offenbach's 37%, shots finished 12-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kickers Offenbach led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for SGV Freiberg and 2.00 for Kickers Offenbach.

What was the final score of SGV Freiberg vs Kickers Offenbach?

SGV Freiberg 2-2 Kickers Offenbach in the Germany - Regional League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SGV Freiberg vs Kickers Offenbach?

Before kick-off our model rated a SGV Freiberg win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split SGV Freiberg 38%, draw 26%, Kickers Offenbach 36%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (SGV Freiberg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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