Rot Weiss Ahlen 0-2 Fortuna Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
41%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.21
Over 2.5
45%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.2pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.6pp
41%
Away Win
48%
-7.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
41%
+14.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
59%
-14.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.5pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot Weiss Ahlen EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Köln EU Bookmakers 52%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -7%
1.28/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.05
+0% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +11%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot Weiss Ahlen
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Fortuna Köln
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.10.2023 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 2-0 HT 0-0 Rot Weiss Ahlen Rot Weiss Ahlen ALMBÖL
02.12.2022 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 2-1 HT 2-0 Rot Weiss Ahlen Rot Weiss Ahlen ALMBÖL
30.07.2022 Rot Weiss Ahlen Rot Weiss Ahlen 1-1 HT 0-1 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
30.03.2022 Rot Weiss Ahlen Rot Weiss Ahlen 0-1 HT 0-1 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
25.08.2021 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 1-1 HT 1-1 Rot Weiss Ahlen Rot Weiss Ahlen ALMBÖL
14.04.2021 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 1-1 HT 1-1 Rot Weiss Ahlen Rot Weiss Ahlen ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rot Weiss Ahlen
0-2
AWAY Fortuna Köln
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rot Weiss Ahlen vs Fortuna Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Köln beat Rot Weiss Ahlen 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fortuna Köln as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Rot Weiss Ahlen had 32% of the ball to Fortuna Köln's 68%, shots finished 8-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortuna Köln led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Rot Weiss Ahlen and 1.33 for Fortuna Köln.

What was the final score of Rot Weiss Ahlen vs Fortuna Köln?

Rot Weiss Ahlen 0-2 Fortuna Köln in the Germany - Regional League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot Weiss Ahlen vs Fortuna Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fortuna Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Rot Weiss Ahlen 30%, draw 29%, Fortuna Köln 41%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortuna Köln), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fortuna Köln) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
6 Apr 2024
14:00 Hannover 96 II vs Holstein Kiel II Analysis →
14:00 Phönix Lübeck vs Weiche Flensburg Analysis →
14:00 Luckenwalde vs Chemnitzer FC Analysis →
14:00 Greifswalder SV vs Hansa Rostock II Analysis →
15:00 Schalke 04 II vs Velbert Analysis →
15:00 Lehnerz vs Aalen Analysis →