Greifswalder SV 1-3 Hansa Rostock II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.43
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.18
Over 2.5
47%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-9.8pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.3pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greifswalder SV EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Hansa Rostock II EU Bookmakers 18%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
2.51/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.16/1.81
+17% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -85% / +14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
379 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greifswalder SV
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Hansa Rostock II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 0
11 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.10.2023 Hansa Rostock II Hansa Rostock II 0-1 HT 0-0 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Greifswalder SV vs Hansa Rostock II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hansa Rostock II got the better of Greifswalder SV 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Greifswalder SV at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Greifswalder SV vs Hansa Rostock II?

Greifswalder SV 1-3 Hansa Rostock II in the Germany - Regional League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greifswalder SV vs Hansa Rostock II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greifswalder SV win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Greifswalder SV 56%, draw 25%, Hansa Rostock II 19%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Greifswalder SV) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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