Luckenwalde 1-2 Chemnitzer FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 6 Apr 2024

Luckenwalde
1-2 HT 0-1
Chemnitzer FC
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2023/2024

Luckenwalde vs Chemnitzer FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.4pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.0pp
35%
Away Win
40%
-4.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.7pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Luckenwalde v Chemnitzer FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luckenwalde EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Chemnitzer FC EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -10%
1.74/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.68
+18% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Luckenwalde vs Chemnitzer FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luckenwalde
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Chemnitzer FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.10.2023 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
02.04.2023 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 0-0 HT 0-0 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
16.10.2022 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
12.03.2022 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 4-1 HT 1-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
29.09.2021 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 1-1 HT 1-1 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
25.10.2020 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 3-0 HT 1-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL

Luckenwalde 1-2 Chemnitzer FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Luckenwalde
1-2
AWAY Chemnitzer FC
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Luckenwalde vs Chemnitzer FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chemnitzer FC nicked a narrow win over Luckenwalde 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 35%) promised a tight game; Chemnitzer FC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Luckenwalde had 56% of the ball to Chemnitzer FC's 44%, shots finished 19-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chemnitzer FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Luckenwalde and 1.83 for Chemnitzer FC.

What was the final score of Luckenwalde vs Chemnitzer FC?

Luckenwalde 1-2 Chemnitzer FC in the Germany - Regional League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luckenwalde vs Chemnitzer FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chemnitzer FC win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Luckenwalde 34%, draw 31%, Chemnitzer FC 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chemnitzer FC), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chemnitzer FC) ✓ BTTS Yes
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