San Martin San Juan vs Velez Sarsfield Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Martin San Juan v Velez Sarsfield — Team-Based Signals
San Martin San Juan vs Velez Sarsfield Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-0
Velez Sarsfield
ARJK
3-1
HT 1-1
Velez Sarsfield
ARJ
0-2
HT 0-2
Velez Sarsfield
ARJ
2-0
HT 2-0
Velez Sarsfield
ARJ
3-1
HT 2-0
Velez Sarsfield
ARJ
San Martin San Juan 1-2 Velez Sarsfield — Actual Match Statistics
Velez Sarsfield squeezed past San Martin San Juan 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 32% / 33% — and on the day Velez Sarsfield made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, San Martin San Juan had 54% of the ball to Velez Sarsfield's 46%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 0.93 to 1.06.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Martin San Juan had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for San Martin San Juan and 1.17 for Velez Sarsfield.
What was the final score of San Martin San Juan vs Velez Sarsfield?
San Martin San Juan 1-2 Velez Sarsfield in the Argentina - Premier League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Martin San Juan vs Velez Sarsfield?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Martin San Juan win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split San Martin San Juan 35%, draw 32%, Velez Sarsfield 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.