Al Nasr 0-1 Al Ahli FC Dubai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
48%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.07
Over
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.57
No
44%
2.24
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.81
2-3
41%
1.78
4-5
21%
2.9
6+
11%
9.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nasr The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli FC Dubai The Market 49%
-7% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
1.07/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.17
-19% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
18.6 Crosses 18.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nasr
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Ahli FC Dubai
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.16 xG 1.73
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
331 Passes 357
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.01.2025 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
17.04.2024 Al Nasr Al Nasr 3-2 HT 2-1 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
27.10.2023 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 3-3 HT 2-1 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
18.04.2023 Al Nasr Al Nasr 2-2 HT 1-1 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
11.11.2022 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
11.05.2022 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
REVIEW Al Nasr vs Al Ahli FC Dubai
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Al Ahli FC Dubai squeezed past Al Nasr 1-0 away from home. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Ahli FC Dubai as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Al Nasr against 2.17 for Al Ahli FC Dubai.

Al Nasr vs Al Ahli FC Dubai Result & Final Score

Al Nasr 0-1 Al Ahli FC Dubai in the UAE - League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Al Nasr vs Al Ahli FC Dubai Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli FC Dubai win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Nasr 29%, draw 23%, Al Ahli FC Dubai 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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