Ethiopian Insurance 2-0 Mlandege — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.72
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
54%
+1.6pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.7pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-5.4pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopian Insurance EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Mlandege EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Ethiopian Insurance vs Mlandege
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopian Insurance got the better of Mlandege 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ethiopian Insurance as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Ethiopian Insurance vs Mlandege?

Ethiopian Insurance 2-0 Mlandege in the CAF Champions League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopian Insurance vs Mlandege?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ethiopian Insurance win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Ethiopian Insurance 56%, draw 21%, Mlandege 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CAFŞL More CAF Champions League
20 Sep 2025
16:00 Lioli vs Orlando Pirates Analysis →
16:00 Power Dynamos vs ASEC Mimosas Analysis →
18:00 Bibiani Gold Stars vs JS Kabylie Analysis →