Lioli 0-3 Orlando Pirates — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
9.57
Draw
17%
5.28
Away
66%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
2.06
No
44%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
10%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
30%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
8%
+9.0pp
17%
Draw
16%
+1.4pp
66%
Away Win
77%
-10.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
44%
+11.9pp
44%
BTTS No
56%
-11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lioli EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Orlando Pirates EU Bookmakers 81%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Lioli vs Orlando Pirates
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando Pirates cruised past Lioli 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Orlando Pirates as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

What was the final score of Lioli vs Orlando Pirates?

Lioli 0-3 Orlando Pirates in the CAF Champions League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lioli vs Orlando Pirates?

Before kick-off our model rated an Orlando Pirates win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Lioli 17%, draw 17%, Orlando Pirates 66%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando Pirates), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Orlando Pirates) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CAFŞL More CAF Champions League
20 Sep 2025
15:00 Ethiopian Insurance vs Mlandege Analysis →
16:00 Power Dynamos vs ASEC Mimosas Analysis →
18:00 Bibiani Gold Stars vs JS Kabylie Analysis →