Vanlose 1-3 Holbaek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
20%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+3.5pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.5pp
45%
Away Win
44%
+1.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.7pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vanlose EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Holbaek EU Bookmakers 48%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +43% / +43%
1.60/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.51/0.30
+18% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vanlose
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Holbaek
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Holbaek Holbaek 1-2 HT 0-0 Vanlose Vanlose DAN3
18.08.2023 Vanlose Vanlose 1-1 HT 1-0 Holbaek Holbaek DAN3
POST-MATCH Vanlose vs Holbaek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holbaek saw off Vanlose 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Holbaek as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Vanlose had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vanlose and 1.00 for Holbaek.

What was the final score of Vanlose vs Holbaek?

Vanlose 1-3 Holbaek in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vanlose vs Holbaek?

Before kick-off our model rated an Holbaek win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Vanlose 34%, draw 21%, Holbaek 45%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holbaek), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Holbaek) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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