Saint-Étienne (K) 0-2 Lyon (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 20 Sep 2025

Saint-Étienne (K)
0-2 HT 0-1
Lyon (K)
📅20/09/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
France - Women's 1st Divisioni – 2025/2026

Saint-Étienne (K) vs Lyon (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
12.23
Draw
12%
8.78
Away
76%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
2%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
20%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
48%
2/X
2%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
12%
Home Win
5%
+7.4pp
12%
Draw
8%
+4.2pp
76%
Away Win
88%
-11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Saint-Étienne (K) v Lyon (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saint-Étienne (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyon (K) EU Bookmakers 94%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.68/3.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.61/0.49
-10% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / +46%
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
289 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 83%
6.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 42.8
6.4 Crosses 26.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.0

Saint-Étienne (K) vs Lyon (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saint-Étienne (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Lyon (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 8.50
0.48 xG 5.43
35% Ball Possession 65%
2 Total Shots 32
2 Shots on Target 16
0 Corners 9
206 Passes 512
66% Pass Accuracy 88%
5 Box Touches 62
6 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
16.11.2024 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) 11-0 HT 3-0 Saint-Étienne (K) Saint-Étienne (K) FRK1
14.04.2024 Saint-Étienne (K) Saint-Étienne (K) 1-6 HT 1-4 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) FRK1

Saint-Étienne (K) 0-2 Lyon (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saint-Étienne (K)
0-2
AWAY Lyon (K)
0.24 xG 1.22
21% Ball Possession 79%
4 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 5
79 Passes 558
46% Pass Accuracy 88%
4 Box Touches 39
2 Crosses 45
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Saint-Étienne (K) vs Lyon (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyon (K) beat Saint-Étienne (K) 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lyon (K) as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Saint-Étienne (K) had 21% of the ball to Lyon (K)'s 79%, shots finished 4-19, expected goals 0.24 to 1.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lyon (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Saint-Étienne (K) and 8.50 for Lyon (K).

What was the final score of Saint-Étienne (K) vs Lyon (K)?

Saint-Étienne (K) 0-2 Lyon (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saint-Étienne (K) vs Lyon (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lyon (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Saint-Étienne (K) 12%, draw 12%, Lyon (K) 76%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyon (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lyon (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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