Dijon (K) 2-1 Montpellier (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-1.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.8pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.1pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dijon (K) EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Montpellier (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
3.24/0.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.71/2.02
+35% / -68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -47%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
21.0 Crosses 19.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dijon (K)
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Montpellier (K)
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.27 xG 1.34
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
287 Passes 321
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 0
23.04.2025 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Dijon (K) Dijon (K) FRK1
07.12.2024 Dijon (K) Dijon (K) 4-2 HT 2-1 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) FRK1
03.02.2024 Dijon (K) Dijon (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dijon (K)
2-1
AWAY Montpellier (K)
0.70 xG 1.41
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
356 Passes 240
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dijon (K) vs Montpellier (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dijon (K) edged past Montpellier (K) 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dijon (K) as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dijon (K) had 57% of the ball to Montpellier (K)'s 43%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.70 to 1.41 — on chances, Montpellier (K) could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Dijon (K) had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Dijon (K) and 0.67 for Montpellier (K).

What was the final score of Dijon (K) vs Montpellier (K)?

Dijon (K) 2-1 Montpellier (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dijon (K) vs Montpellier (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dijon (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Dijon (K) 47%, draw 28%, Montpellier (K) 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dijon (K)), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dijon (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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