Dijon (K) 4-2 Montpellier (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 7 Dec 2024

Dijon (K)
4-2 HT 2-1
Montpellier (K)
📅07/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
France - Women's 1st Divisioni – 2025/2026

Dijon (K) vs Montpellier (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+3.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.0pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dijon (K) v Montpellier (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dijon (K) EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Montpellier (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.88/0.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/2.01
+29% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +51%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 81%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
18.8 Crosses 19.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.0

Dijon (K) vs Montpellier (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dijon (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Montpellier (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.96 xG 0.62
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 9
223 Passes 337
67% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 23
The Meetings
03.02.2024 Dijon (K) Dijon (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) FRK1

Dijon (K) 4-2 Montpellier (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dijon (K)
4-2
AWAY Montpellier (K)
2.02 xG 2.71
48% Ball Possession 52%
19 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
345 Passes 386
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dijon (K) vs Montpellier (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dijon (K) saw off Montpellier (K) 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Dijon (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Dijon (K) had 48% of the ball to Montpellier (K)'s 52%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 2.02 to 2.71 — the balance of chances actually favoured Montpellier (K).

What was the final score of Dijon (K) vs Montpellier (K)?

Dijon (K) 4-2 Montpellier (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dijon (K) vs Montpellier (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dijon (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Dijon (K) 36%, draw 27%, Montpellier (K) 36%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/27/36) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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