Saint-Étienne (K) 2-0 Guingamp (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.57
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
14%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.68
No
55%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
60%
+0.7pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.0pp
15%
Away Win
18%
-3.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.9pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saint-Étienne (K) EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Guingamp (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
1.55/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.20/3.24
-48% / -71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
383 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.0
13.0 Crosses 6.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saint-Étienne (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Guingamp (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.60 xG 2.22
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
323 Passes 204
75% Pass Accuracy 68%
25 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.03.2024 Guingamp (K) Guingamp (K) 3-4 HT 2-2 Saint-Étienne (K) Saint-Étienne (K) FRK1
09.12.2023 Saint-Étienne (K) Saint-Étienne (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Guingamp (K) Guingamp (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saint-Étienne (K)
2-0
AWAY Guingamp (K)
0.88 xG 0.20
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
259 Passes 309
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 10
11 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Saint-Étienne (K) vs Guingamp (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saint-Étienne (K) saw off Guingamp (K) 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Saint-Étienne (K) as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Saint-Étienne (K) had 46% of the ball to Guingamp (K)'s 54%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 0.88 to 0.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Saint-Étienne (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Saint-Étienne (K) and 2.00 for Guingamp (K).

What was the final score of Saint-Étienne (K) vs Guingamp (K)?

Saint-Étienne (K) 2-0 Guingamp (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saint-Étienne (K) vs Guingamp (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saint-Étienne (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Saint-Étienne (K) 61%, draw 25%, Guingamp (K) 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saint-Étienne (K)), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Saint-Étienne (K)) ✓ BTTS No
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